UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Aug-17 18:09 CT

Price Action

• Last: 117.60141,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Aug

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -4%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt low 116.00000,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt high 119.98000,
• 5. Levels R: 119.68750, 119.98000, 120.00000, 124.716, 128.15625,
• 6. Levels S: 116.00000, 113.62500, 112.06250.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 117.625 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 117.8125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 118.26 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 117.96 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.36 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 120.96 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 15 Aug 2025: Short UB 09-25 @ 117.71875 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 14 Aug 2025: Short UB 09-25 @ 117.5625 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 13 Aug 2025: Long UB 09-25 @ 118.3125 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart reflects a market under sustained downside pressure across all timeframes. Price action is currently below key monthly and yearly session fib grid levels, with the last price sitting under all major moving averages, each trending down. The short-term swing pivot trend is down, with the next significant resistance at 119.68750 and support at 116.00000. Recent trade signals have shifted to the short side, confirming the prevailing bearish sentiment. Volatility remains moderate (ATR 46), and volume is steady but not elevated, suggesting no panic selling but a controlled downtrend. The market is in a corrective phase, with lower highs and lower lows dominating, and no immediate signs of reversal. This environment favors trend continuation setups, with any rallies likely to face resistance at overhead pivot and moving average levels.