UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Aug-15 07:14 CT

Price Action

• Last: 117.71875,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -33%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Aug

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 7%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -2%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 119.6875,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 116.4375,
• 5. Levels R: 128.15625, 120.40625, 120.0, 119.6875, 119.34375, 118.53125, 118.0, 117.875,
• 6. Levels S: 113.625, 112.0625.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 117.875 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 117.4375 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 117.76688 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 118.48875 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.8125 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 119.8395 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 15 Aug 2025: Short UB 09-25 @ 117.71875 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 14 Aug 2025: Short UB 09-25 @ 117.5625 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 13 Aug 2025: Long UB 09-25 @ 118.3125 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures market is currently showing mixed signals across timeframes. Short-term momentum is average with medium-sized bars, but the prevailing trend is bearish, as confirmed by the WSFG and recent short trade signals. The 5- and 10-day moving averages are both trending down, reinforcing short-term weakness. Intermediate-term signals are more neutral: the MSFG trend is up and price is above the monthly NTZ, but the HiLo swing pivot trend remains down, suggesting a lack of clear direction and possible consolidation. Long-term outlook is bearish, with price below both the yearly NTZ and all major long-term moving averages. Resistance is stacked above current price, with multiple levels between 117.875 and 128.15625, while support is much lower at 113.625 and 112.0625. Volatility (ATR) is moderate, and volume is steady. Overall, the market is in a corrective or consolidative phase within a broader bearish structure, with short-term downside pressure and intermediate-term indecision.