UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Aug-14 07:18 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119.6768,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 36%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Aug

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 32%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 3%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 119.6875,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 117.0000,
• 5. Levels R: 128.15625, 120.0000, 119.6875, 118.5625,
• 6. Levels S: 117.2821, 113.6250, 112.0625.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 118.1562 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 118.4375 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 117.8353 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 117.3666 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 119.0910 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 119.6768 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 13 Aug 2025: Long UB 09-25 @ 118.46875 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 13 Aug 2025: Long UB 09-25 @ 118.3125 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 13 Aug 2025: Long UB 09-25 @ 118.3125 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a clear upward momentum in both the short- and intermediate-term timeframes, with price action consistently above key session fib grid levels and all short- to intermediate-term moving averages trending higher. The swing pivot structure confirms an uptrend, with the most recent pivot high at 119.6875 and the next potential pivot low at 117.0000, suggesting a strong upward bias but with defined support below. Resistance levels are stacked above, with the next major resistance at 120.0000 and a significant long-term resistance at 128.15625. Long-term moving averages remain in a downtrend, indicating that while the current rally is robust, it is still within a broader corrective or consolidative phase. Recent trade signals have all triggered long entries, reinforcing the prevailing bullish sentiment. Volatility and volume are moderate, supporting the sustainability of the current move. Overall, the market is in a bullish swing phase, with higher lows and higher highs, but traders should remain aware of overhead resistance and the long-term trend context.