UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Aug-12 07:16 CT

Price Action

• Last: 121.410625,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -10%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Aug

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 15%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 119.87500,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 113.75000,
• 5. Levels R: 152.00000, 138.21875, 138.15625, 128.15625, 121.41063,
• 6. Levels S: 112.06250.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 118.6125 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 118.02188 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 121.34688 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 124.34313 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 134.4375 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 142.0625 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 08 Aug 2025: Short UB 09-25 @ 118.125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 08 Aug 2025: Short UB 09-25 @ 118.34375 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 05 Aug 2025: Long UB 09-25 @ 118.84375 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures weekly chart reflects a persistent bearish environment across most timeframes. Price action is characterized by medium-sized bars and slow momentum, indicating a lack of strong directional conviction but a prevailing downward bias. The Weekly Session Fib Grid (WSFG) and Yearly Session Fib Grid (YSFG) both show price below their respective NTZ centers, reinforcing the short- and long-term downtrends. The Monthly Session Fib Grid (MSFG) is the only outlier, with price above its NTZ and an uptrend, but this is not supported by the broader context. Swing pivot analysis confirms a dominant downtrend in both short- and intermediate-term trends, with the next significant pivot low at 113.75000 and major resistance levels stacked well above current price. All benchmark moving averages from 5-week to 200-week are trending down, further supporting the bearish outlook. Recent trade signals have favored the short side, aligning with the technical structure. Overall, the market is in a prolonged corrective or bearish phase, with rallies being met by resistance and lower highs forming. The environment is marked by consolidation within a broader downtrend, with occasional countertrend bounces failing to reverse the primary direction. The technical landscape suggests continued pressure on the downside unless a significant breakout above key resistance levels occurs.