UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Aug-12 07:16 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119.7497,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -10%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Aug

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 15%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 119.6875,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 116.0625,
• 5. Levels R: 128.15625, 120.0, 119.34375, 119.25, 119.0, 118.96875, 118.84375,
• 6. Levels S: 116.9375, 113.625, 112.0625.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 118.8652 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 118.2812 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 117.3420 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 116.0887 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 116.9734 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 119.4797 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR:46,
• VOLMA:293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 08 Aug 2025: Short UB 09-25 @ 118.125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 08 Aug 2025: Short UB 09-25 @ 118.34375 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 05 Aug 2025: Long UB 09-25 @ 118.84375 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Neutral,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a market in transition. Price action has recently moved above the monthly session fib grid (MSFG) neutral zone, with intermediate-term momentum supported by a series of higher swing lows and a current uptrend in both short- and intermediate-term swing pivots. Most daily benchmarks (5, 10, 20, 55, and 100-day MAs) are trending up, but the 200-day MA remains in a downtrend, highlighting longer-term bearish pressure. Recent trade signals reflect mixed sentiment, with short-term signals turning short while the intermediate-term signal remains long. The ATR and volume metrics suggest moderate volatility and participation. Overall, the market is consolidating after a rally, with short-term direction uncertain, intermediate-term bias positive, and long-term trend still negative. This environment is typical of a market testing resistance after a recovery, with potential for either a continuation higher or a pullback toward support.