UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Aug-11 07:17 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119.7826,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 11%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Aug

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 23%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt high 119.6875,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt low 117.0000,
• 5. Levels R: 128.15625, 122.4402, 120.0000, 119.84375, 119.6875,
• 6. Levels S: 117.921875, 117.31913, 116.84219, 113.625, 112.0625.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 118.84375 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 118.0825 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 117.84219 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 117.31913 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 116.84219 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 119.098 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR:46,
• VOLMA:293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 08 Aug 2025: Short UB 09-25 @ 118.125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 08 Aug 2025: Short UB 09-25 @ 118.34375 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 05 Aug 2025: Long UB 09-25 @ 118.84375 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a strong recovery and sustained uptrend across short- and intermediate-term timeframes, with price action holding above key session fib grid levels and all major moving averages except the 200-day, which remains slightly downward. Swing pivots confirm an upward trend, with the most recent pivot high at 119.6875 and the next potential pivot low at 117.0000, suggesting a healthy sequence of higher highs and higher lows. Resistance is layered above at 119.84375 and 120.0000, with major support at 117.921875 and 117.31913. Recent trade signals indicate some short-term profit-taking or countertrend activity, but the overall structure remains constructive. Volatility and volume are moderate, supporting the current trend. The long-term outlook is neutral as price approaches the 200-day moving average, which could act as a significant inflection point. The market is in a trending phase, with potential for further upside if resistance levels are cleared, but traders should watch for possible consolidation or pullbacks near major resistance.