UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Aug-10 18:11 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119.78,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 0%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Neutral,
• WSFG Trend: Neutral.

MSFG Month Aug

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 17%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 0%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Neutral,
• YSFG Trend: Neutral.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 119.6875,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 117.0000,
• 5. Levels R: 127.0000, 124.3125, 120.34375, 119.6875, 118.84375,
• 6. Levels S: 117.0000, 116.0625, 113.6250, 112.0625.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 118.84375 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 118.0625 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 116.84219 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 117.31193 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 117.79813 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 119.78206 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 08 Aug 2025: Short UB 09-25 @ 118.125 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 08 Aug 2025: Short UB 09-25 @ 118.34375 Signals.USAR.TR120
• 05 Aug 2025: Long UB 09-25 @ 118.84375 Signals.USAR-MSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart shows a market that has recently shifted to a bullish short- and intermediate-term posture, with price action above most key moving averages and a clear uptrend in both swing pivots and benchmark MAs. The current price is testing the 200-day moving average from below, which is acting as a significant resistance level. The recent swing high at 119.6875 and the next pivot low at 117.0000 define the immediate trading range, with multiple resistance levels stacked above and support levels below. Volatility, as measured by ATR, is moderate, and volume remains steady. Recent trade signals indicate mixed short-term momentum, with both short and long entries triggered in the past week, reflecting some choppiness and possible profit-taking after the recent rally. The overall structure suggests a market in recovery mode from prior lows, with the potential for further upside if resistance at the 200-day MA is decisively broken, but with caution warranted as the long-term trend remains neutral and the market is at a key inflection point.