UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Aug-07 07:18 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119.86281,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 11%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Aug

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 27%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 2%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 119.86281,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 117.00000,
• 5. Levels R: 128.15625, 120.00000, 119.23438, 118.93750, 118.68750, 118.34375,
• 6. Levels S: 113.62500, 112.06250.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 118.7875 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 117.6875 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 116.67969 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 117.23438 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118.05594 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 119.86281 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 05 Aug 2025: Long UB 09-25 @ 118.84375 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 05 Aug 2025: Long UB 09-25 @ 118.9375 Signals.USAR-WSFG

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart is showing a strong recovery phase, with price action currently above all key short- and intermediate-term moving averages, and both the weekly and monthly session fib grids confirming an upward trend. The swing pivot structure is in a short-term uptrend, with the most recent pivot high aligning with the current price, and the next potential reversal level set at 117.00000. Resistance levels are clustered between 118.34375 and 120.00000, with a major long-term resistance at 128.15625, while support is well below at 113.62500 and 112.06250, indicating a wide trading range. The 100-day and 200-day moving averages remain in a downtrend, suggesting that while the short- and intermediate-term momentum is positive, the longer-term trend has not yet fully reversed. Recent trade signals have triggered new long entries, reflecting the bullish momentum in the short and intermediate timeframes. Volatility and volume are moderate, supporting the current trend continuation. Overall, the market is in a bullish swing phase in the short and intermediate term, but faces significant overhead resistance and has not yet confirmed a long-term trend reversal.