UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Aug-06 07:17 CT

Price Action

• Last: 119.90469,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 17%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Aug

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 28%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 2%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 119.90469,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 116.80469,
• 5. Levels R: 127.00000, 126.25000, 124.00000, 120.00000, 119.90469, 118.84375,
• 6. Levels S: 117.34375, 116.80469, 113.62500, 112.06250.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 118.1875 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 118.0931 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 117.1750 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 116.8047 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118.9903 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 119.0988 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 05 Aug 2025: Long UB 09-25 @ 118.84375 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 05 Aug 2025: Long UB 09-25 @ 118.9375 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 30 Jul 2025: Long UB 09-25 @ 117.71875 Signals.USAR.TR720

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bullish,
• Long-Term: Neutral.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures are showing a strong recovery and upward momentum across both short-term and intermediate-term timeframes, as evidenced by the alignment of swing pivot trends (UTrend), price action above key session fib grid levels, and all short/intermediate moving averages trending higher. The recent sequence of long trade signals further confirms the bullish bias, with price breaking above the NTZ and holding above key resistance levels. However, the long-term moving averages (100 and 200 day) remain in a downtrend, suggesting that while the current rally is robust, it is still operating within a broader, longer-term corrective structure. Volatility is moderate (ATR 46), and volume is healthy, supporting the move. The market is currently testing a major resistance cluster near 120, and a sustained breakout above this could shift the long-term outlook. For now, the structure favors trend continuation in the short and intermediate term, with higher lows and a series of successful retests and bounces off support, but the long-term trend remains to be confirmed.