UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Weekly Chart Analysis: 2025-Aug-04 07:17 CT

Price Action

• Last: 117.90625,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Momentum slow.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: -5%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• WSFG Trend: Down.

MSFG Month Aug

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: 17%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• MSFG Trend: Up.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 1%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 112.06250,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 118.31250,
• 5. Levels R: 152.00000, 138.21875, 128.15625, 124.03125, 121.56250,
• 6. Levels S: 112.06250.

Weekly Benchmarks

• (Intermediate-Term) 5 Week: 117.96 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 10 Week: 116.09 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 20 Week: 121.54 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 55 Week: 124.46 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Week: 142.80 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Week: 142.80 Down Trend.

Recent Trade Signals

• 04 Aug 2025: Long UB 09-25 @ 117.90625 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 04 Aug 2025: Short UB 09-25 @ 117.96875 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 30 Jul 2025: Long UB 09-25 @ 117.71875 Signals.USAR.TR720
• 28 Jul 2025: Long UB 09-25 @ 116.59375 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The weekly chart for UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures shows a market in a broad, persistent downtrend across most timeframes, with some intermediate-term stabilization. Price action is currently subdued, with medium-sized bars and slow momentum, reflecting a lack of strong directional conviction. The short-term WSFG trend is down, with price trading below the NTZ center, and both the short-term and intermediate-term swing pivot trends are also down, confirming ongoing bearish pressure. Key resistance levels remain well above current price, while support is clustered near recent lows, suggesting a market that is consolidating near the bottom of its range. All major moving averages (5, 10, 20, 55, 100, 200 week) are trending down, reinforcing the dominant bearish structure. Recent trade signals show mixed activity, with both long and short entries, indicating choppy, range-bound conditions in the short run. Overall, the market remains under pressure, with any rallies likely to encounter significant resistance, and the broader trend still favoring the downside until a clear reversal or breakout above key resistance levels occurs.