BTC CME Bitcoin Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Aug-04 07:03 CT

Price Action

• Last: 114855,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 7%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Aug

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -6%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: 61%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• YSFG Trend: Up.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: DTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: UTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt Low 114140,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt High 124620,
• 5. Levels R: 124620, 120010, 118495,
• 6. Levels S: 114140, 111340, 106645, 104045, 100450, 99770, 95640, 89470.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 117185 Down Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 117105 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 117375 Down Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 111319 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 102622 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 99773 Up Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 1025,
• VOLMA: 15061.

Recent Trade Signals

• 01 Aug 2025: Short BTC 08-25 @ 113550 Signals.USAR-MSFG
• 31 Jul 2025: Short BTC 08-25 @ 117450 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bearish,
• Intermediate-Term: Neutral,
• Long-Term: Bullish.

Key Insights Summary

The current BTC CME futures chart shows a mixed environment for swing traders. Short-term momentum has shifted bearish, with price action below key short-term moving averages and a recent pivot low forming at 114140. The weekly session fib grid (WSFG) remains in an uptrend, but the monthly session fib grid (MSFG) has turned down, indicating intermediate-term weakness. The intermediate-term HiLo trend is still up, suggesting underlying support, but the short-term pivot trend is down, and recent trade signals have triggered shorts. Long-term structure remains bullish, with price well above the 100- and 200-day moving averages, and the yearly fib grid trend is up. Volatility is moderate, and volume is steady. The market appears to be in a corrective phase within a larger uptrend, with potential for further downside tests toward support levels before any resumption of the broader bullish trend. Swing traders should note the presence of both trend continuation and counter-trend signals, with the current environment favoring short-term caution and intermediate-term patience as the market digests recent gains.