UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures Daily Chart Analysis: 2025-Jul-31 07:14 CT

Price Action

• Last: 117.71875,
• Bars: Medium,
• Mom: Average.

WSFG Weekly

• Short-Term
• WSFG Current: 62%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Above,
• WSFG Trend: Up.

MSFG Month Jul

• Intermediate-Term
• MSFG Current: -21%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• MSFG Trend: Down.

YSFG Year 2025

• Long-Term
• YSFG Current: -2%
• F0%/NTZ' Bias: Price Below,
• YSFG Trend: Down.

Swing Pivots

• (Short-Term) 1. Pvt. Trend: UTrend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 2. HiLo Trend: DTrend,
• 3. Pvt. Evolve: Pvt High 117.90625,
• 4. Pvt. Next: Pvt Low 113.625,
• 5. Levels R: 128.15625, 120.000, 119.20313, 119.040, 118.53125, 116.84375,
• 6. Levels S: 113.625, 112.0625.

Daily Benchmarks

• (Short-Term) 5 Day: 116.125 Up Trend,
• (Short-Term) 10 Day: 116.88125 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 20 Day: 116.99421 Up Trend,
• (Intermediate-Term) 55 Day: 116.67188 Up Trend,
• (Long-Term) 100 Day: 118.23904 Down Trend,
• (Long-Term) 200 Day: 120.09078 Down Trend.

Additional Metrics

• ATR: 46,
• VOLMA: 293527.

Recent Trade Signals

• 30 Jul 2025: Long UB 09-25 @ 117.71875 Signals.USAR.TR720
• 29 Jul 2025: Long UB 09-25 @ 116.4375 Signals.USAR-WSFG
• 28 Jul 2025: Long UB 09-25 @ 116.59375 Signals.USAR.TR120

Overall Rating

• Short-Term: Bullish,
• Intermediate-Term: Bearish,
• Long-Term: Bearish.

Key Insights Summary

The UB Ultra U.S. Treasury Bond Futures daily chart currently reflects a mixed environment for swing traders. Short-term momentum is positive, with price action above key short-term moving averages and a confirmed uptrend in the weekly session fib grid (WSFG). Recent trade signals have also favored the long side, and the most recent swing pivot is a high, suggesting upward pressure in the near term. However, intermediate and long-term trends remain bearish, as indicated by the monthly and yearly session fib grids (MSFG and YSFG) and the downward slope of the 100-day and 200-day moving averages. Resistance levels are clustered above, with significant overhead supply near 118.5 and 120, while support is established at 113.625 and 112.0625. Volatility is moderate, and volume is steady. The market appears to be in a short-term recovery or bounce within a broader downtrend, with potential for further upside tests but significant resistance ahead. Swing traders should be aware of the potential for countertrend rallies within a prevailing bearish structure.